StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alex Michelsen v Adrian Mannarino

2026-07-29 22:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Matchresultat

30 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alex Michelsen (Hemma)

Prognos 66.71%1.50rättvist odds
EV -3.94%
Fördel -2.74%
Kelly -8.96%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.66%66.76%66.67%68.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.45%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Adrian Mannarino (Borta)

Prognos 33.29%3.00rättvist odds
EV -0.789%
Fördel -0.265%
Kelly -0.398%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.98

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.96%33.24%33.33%34.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.842.872.9838.46%35.22%34.90%33.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Spelbolagsodds (30 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.94%E -2.74%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.79%E -0.606%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:00
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.79%E -0.606%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 23:04
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:14
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 22:14
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 02:13
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -2.79%E -0.954%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 23:24
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -2.79%E -0.954%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 22:14
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 22:15
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 22:15
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 21:50
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -0.789%E -0.265%K -0.398%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 21:45
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 21:45
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 21:44
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 22:15
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 22:15
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 21:45
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 22:14
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:14
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:14
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 21:49
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 21:49
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 00:04
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -7.28%E -5.23%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 22:15
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -7.94%E -5.76%K -20.90%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:15
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.94%E -5.76%K -20.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.11%E -3.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 22:13
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.92%EV -8.61%E -6.29%K -23.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.08%EV -11.78%E -4.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 22:14
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 21:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 21:44
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.66%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -13.44%E -5.17%K -8.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-28 22:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.09%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%3.4%2026-07-29 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%6.1%2026-07-28 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%6.1%2026-07-29 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%6.1%2026-07-28 23:29
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 66.17%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.83%10.3%2026-07-29 02:09
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 51.89%1.51I 66.23%NM 48.11%37.7%2026-07-29 00:55
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 54.29%1.33I 75.19%NM 45.71%64.5%2026-07-29 01:50