Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex Michelsen v Adrian Mannarino

2026-07-29 22:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Frente a frente

30 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex Michelsen (Local)

Previsão 66.71%1.50odd justa
EV -3.94%
Vantagem -2.74%
Kelly -8.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.66%66.76%66.67%68.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.45%71.43%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)

Previsão 33.29%3.00odd justa
EV -0.789%
Vantagem -0.265%
Kelly -0.398%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.96%33.24%33.33%34.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.842.872.9838.46%35.22%34.90%33.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Odds das casas de apostas (30 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.94%E -2.74%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.79%E -0.606%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:00
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.79%E -0.606%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 23:04
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:14
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 22:14
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 02:13
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -2.79%E -0.954%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 23:24
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -2.79%E -0.954%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 22:14
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 22:15
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 22:15
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 21:50
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -0.789%E -0.265%K -0.398%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 21:45
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 21:45
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 21:44
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 22:15
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 22:15
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 21:45
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 22:14
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:14
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:14
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 21:49
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 21:49
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 00:04
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -7.28%E -5.23%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 22:15
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -7.94%E -5.76%K -20.90%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:15
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.94%E -5.76%K -20.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.11%E -3.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 22:13
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.92%EV -8.61%E -6.29%K -23.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.08%EV -11.78%E -4.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 22:14
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 21:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 21:44
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.66%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -13.44%E -5.17%K -8.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-28 22:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.09%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%3.4%2026-07-29 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%6.1%2026-07-28 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%6.1%2026-07-29 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%6.1%2026-07-28 23:29
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 66.17%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.83%10.3%2026-07-29 02:09
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 51.89%1.51I 66.23%NM 48.11%37.7%2026-07-29 00:55
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 54.29%1.33I 75.19%NM 45.71%64.5%2026-07-29 01:50