Sprache:Deutsch
Alex Michelsen v Adrian Mannarino
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Alex Michelsen (Heim)
Prognose 71.41%1.40faire Quote
EV -2.17%
Vorteil -1.58%
Kelly -5.86%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.37
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
68.81%71.34%71.43%72.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.291.331.331.3777.52%75.29%75.19%72.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Auswärts)
Prognose 28.59%3.50faire Quote
EV -0.797%
Vorteil -0.230%
Kelly -0.323%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.47
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.51%28.66%28.57%31.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.283.303.4733.33%30.46%30.30%28.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alex Michelsen (Heim): 71.41%; Adrian Mannarino (Auswärts): 28.59%. Für Adrian Mannarino (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.50. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 3.47, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.797%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.
Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.17%E -1.58%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.397%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.37%E -0.397%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:27 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 21:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:32 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 21:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 23:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.44%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.56%EV -0.797%E -0.230%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 23:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.45%E -4.92%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.45%E -4.92%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.88%E -6.11%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 13:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.88%E -6.11%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-07-29 23:35 |