Lingua:Italiano
Alex Michelsen v Adrian Mannarino
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alex Michelsen (Casa)
Previsione 71.41%1.40quota equa
EV -2.17%
Vantaggio -1.58%
Kelly -5.86%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.81%71.34%71.43%72.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.331.331.3777.52%75.29%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta)
Previsione 28.59%3.50quota equa
EV -0.797%
Vantaggio -0.230%
Kelly -0.323%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.47
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.51%28.66%28.57%31.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.283.303.4733.33%30.46%30.30%28.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alex Michelsen (Casa): 71.41%; Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta): 28.59%. Per Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.50. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.47, con un valore atteso del -0.797%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.17%E -1.58%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.397%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.37%E -0.397%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:27 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 21:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:32 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 21:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 23:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.44%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.56%EV -0.797%E -0.230%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 23:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.45%E -4.92%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.45%E -4.92%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.88%E -6.11%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 13:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.88%E -6.11%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-07-29 23:35 |