Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alex Michelsen v Adrian Mannarino

2026-07-29 22:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alex Michelsen (Local)

Prévision 66.71%1.50cote équitable
EV -3.94%
Avantage -2.74%
Kelly -8.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.66%66.76%66.67%68.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.45%71.43%69.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.29%3.00cote équitable
EV -0.789%
Avantage -0.265%
Kelly -0.398%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.96%33.24%33.33%34.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.842.872.9838.46%35.22%34.90%33.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.94%E -2.74%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.79%E -0.606%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:00
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.79%E -0.606%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 23:04
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:14
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 22:14
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 02:13
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -2.79%E -0.954%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 23:24
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -2.79%E -0.954%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 22:14
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 22:15
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 22:15
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 21:50
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -0.789%E -0.265%K -0.398%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 21:45
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 21:45
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 21:44
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 22:15
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 22:15
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 21:45
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 22:14
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:14
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:14
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 21:49
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 21:49
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 00:04
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -7.28%E -5.23%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 22:15
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -7.94%E -5.76%K -20.90%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:15
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.94%E -5.76%K -20.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.11%E -3.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 22:13
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.92%EV -8.61%E -6.29%K -23.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.08%EV -11.78%E -4.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 22:14
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 21:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 21:44
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.66%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -13.44%E -5.17%K -8.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-28 22:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.09%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%3.4%2026-07-29 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%6.1%2026-07-28 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%6.1%2026-07-29 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%6.1%2026-07-28 23:29
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 66.17%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.83%10.3%2026-07-29 02:09
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 51.89%1.51I 66.23%NM 48.11%37.7%2026-07-29 00:55
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 54.29%1.33I 75.19%NM 45.71%64.5%2026-07-29 01:50