语言:简体中文
Alex Michelsen v Adrian Mannarino
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Alex Michelsen (主队)
预测 71.41%1.40公平赔率
EV -2.17%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -5.86%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.37
博彩公司预测分布
68.81%71.34%71.43%72.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.291.331.331.3777.52%75.29%75.19%72.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
Adrian Mannarino (客队)
预测 28.59%3.50公平赔率
EV -0.797%
优势 -0.230%
Kelly -0.323%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.47
博彩公司预测分布
27.51%28.66%28.57%31.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.283.303.4733.33%30.46%30.30%28.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Alex Michelsen (主队)：71.41%；Adrian Mannarino (客队)：28.59%。 对于“Adrian Mannarino (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.50。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.47，期望值为-0.797%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.17%E -1.58%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.397%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.37%E -0.397%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:27 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 21:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:32 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 21:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 23:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.44%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.56%EV -0.797%E -0.230%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 23:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.45%E -4.92%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.45%E -4.92%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.88%E -6.11%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 13:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.88%E -6.11%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-07-29 23:35 |