StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Brandon Nakashima v Alex Michelsen

Matchstart: 2026-09-02 15:04 UTC

Slutresultat: Brandon Nakashima 0–3 Alex Michelsen

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Brandon Nakashima (Hemma)

Prognos 66.81%1.50rättvist odds
EV -2.45%
Fördel -1.68%
Kelly -5.33%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.46

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.57%66.86%66.90%68.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.361.421.431.4673.53%70.34%69.93%68.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alex Michelsen (Borta)

Prognos 33.19%3.01rättvist odds
EV +1.21%
Fördel +0.398%
Kelly +0.592%
Tillväxt +0.007%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.19%33.14%33.10%34.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.872.853.0536.36%34.87%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Brandon Nakashima (Hemma): 66.81%; Alex Michelsen (Borta): 33.19%. För Alex Michelsen (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.01. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.05, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.21%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +1.21%E +0.398%K +0.592%G +0.007%4.7%2026-09-02 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV +0.883%E +0.290%K +0.433%G +0.004%4.8%2026-09-02 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:54
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.79%E -4.11%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 14:40
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.13%E -6.71%K -25.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66%EV -0.777%E -0.260%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 14:35
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.11%E -0.372%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -1.44%E -0.485%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:49
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:34
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 14:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 11:00
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:55
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:53
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:40
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 13:04
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 10:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.79%E -4.11%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.09%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 10:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 11:03
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 10:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 12:25
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 14:46
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -2.45%E -1.68%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -7.75%E -2.79%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 11:00
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.41%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.41%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 10:55
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 11:00
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 06:15
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 06:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 11:00
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 11:00
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 14:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:35
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 13:56
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 12:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-09-02 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-09-02 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-09-02 14:51
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-09-02 14:20
Novig◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84%0.4%2026-09-02 14:55
ProphetX◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-09-02 14:55
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-09-02 12:20
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-09-02 14:15