Язык:Русский
Brandon Nakashima v Alex Michelsen
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Brandon Nakashima (Хозяева)
Прогноз 66.81%1.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.45%
Преимущество -1.68%
Kelly -5.33%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.46
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.57%66.86%66.90%68.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.361.421.431.4673.53%70.34%69.93%68.49%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Alex Michelsen (Гости)
Прогноз 33.19%3.01справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.21%
Преимущество +0.398%
Kelly +0.592%
Рост +0.007%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.19%33.14%33.10%34.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.872.853.0536.36%34.87%35.09%32.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Brandon Nakashima (Хозяева): 66.81%; Alex Michelsen (Гости): 33.19%. Для исхода «Alex Michelsen (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.01. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.05, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.21%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +1.21%E +0.398%K +0.592%G +0.007% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV +0.883%E +0.290%K +0.433%G +0.004% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.79%E -4.11%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.13%E -6.71%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66%EV -0.777%E -0.260%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.11%E -0.372%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -1.44%E -0.485%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 13:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.79%E -4.11%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.09%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 11:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 12:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -2.45%E -1.68%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -7.75%E -2.79%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.41%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.41%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 06:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 06:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 13:56 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 14:15 |