StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Brandon Nakashima v Alex Michelsen

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Brandon Nakashima (Heim)

Prognose 58.57%1.71faire Quote
EV -2.19%
Vorteil -1.31%
Kelly -3.27%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.38%58.56%58.67%59.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.561.611.611.6764.10%62.18%62.11%59.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alex Michelsen (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.43%2.41faire Quote
EV -2.64%
Vorteil -1.12%
Kelly -1.95%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.05%41.44%41.33%42.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.102.282.302.3547.62%43.82%43.48%42.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Brandon Nakashima (Heim): 58.57%; Alex Michelsen (Auswärts): 41.43%. Für Brandon Nakashima (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.71. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.67, bei einem Erwartungswert von -2.19%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.19%E -1.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 01:09
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 23:10
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.95%E -2.41%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 01:50
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.53%E -2.78%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.47%E -1.49%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 04:05
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 23:45
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 04:20
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 21:40
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 23:15
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 01:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 04:05
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:00
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 02:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 02:45
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.54%E -2.43%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 01:50
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 00:03
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -7.19%E -3.21%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.88%E -4.32%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 03:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 23:09
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 23:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.63%E -5.53%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -8.63%E -5.53%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.99%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-01 04:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-09-01 05:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-09-01 05:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-09-01 05:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-09-01 05:10
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%3.7%2026-09-01 05:15
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%12.6%2026-08-31 23:10
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 59.40%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.60%13.0%2026-09-01 05:15
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 68.35%2.44I 40.98%NM 31.65%29.5%2026-09-01 05:09