StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Brandon Nakashima v Alex Michelsen

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-02 15:04 UTC

Endstand: Brandon Nakashima 0–3 Alex Michelsen

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Brandon Nakashima (Heim)

Prognose 66.81%1.50faire Quote
EV -2.45%
Vorteil -1.68%
Kelly -5.33%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.46

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.57%66.86%66.90%68.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.361.421.431.4673.53%70.34%69.93%68.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alex Michelsen (Auswärts)

Prognose 33.19%3.01faire Quote
EV +1.21%
Vorteil +0.398%
Kelly +0.592%
Wachstum +0.007%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.19%33.14%33.10%34.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.752.872.853.0536.36%34.87%35.09%32.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Brandon Nakashima (Heim): 66.81%; Alex Michelsen (Auswärts): 33.19%. Für Alex Michelsen (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.01. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.05 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.21%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +1.21%E +0.398%K +0.592%G +0.007%4.7%2026-09-02 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV +0.883%E +0.290%K +0.433%G +0.004%4.8%2026-09-02 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:54
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.79%E -4.11%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 14:40
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.13%E -6.71%K -25.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66%EV -0.777%E -0.260%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 14:35
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.11%E -0.372%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -1.44%E -0.485%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:49
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:34
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 14:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 11:00
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:55
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:53
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:40
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 13:04
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 10:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.79%E -4.11%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.09%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 10:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 11:03
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 10:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 12:25
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 14:46
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -2.45%E -1.68%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -7.75%E -2.79%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 11:00
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.41%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.41%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 10:55
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 11:00
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 06:15
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 06:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 11:00
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 11:00
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 14:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:35
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 13:56
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 12:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-09-02 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-09-02 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-09-02 14:51
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-09-02 14:20
Novig◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84%0.4%2026-09-02 14:55
ProphetX◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-09-02 14:55
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-09-02 12:20
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-09-02 14:15