Langue:Français
Brandon Nakashima v Alex Michelsen
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Prévision 66.81%1.50cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -5.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.57%66.86%66.90%68.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.421.431.4673.53%70.34%69.93%68.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alex Michelsen (Visiteur)
Prévision 33.19%3.01cote équitable
EV +1.21%
Avantage +0.398%
Kelly +0.592%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.19%33.14%33.10%34.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.872.853.0536.36%34.87%35.09%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Brandon Nakashima (Local) : 66.81% ; Alex Michelsen (Visiteur) : 33.19%. Pour Alex Michelsen (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.01. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.05, soit une espérance positive de +1.21%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +1.21%E +0.398%K +0.592%G +0.007% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV +0.883%E +0.290%K +0.433%G +0.004% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.79%E -4.11%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.13%E -6.71%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66%EV -0.777%E -0.260%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.11%E -0.372%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -1.44%E -0.485%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 13:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.79%E -4.11%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.09%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 11:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 12:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -2.45%E -1.68%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -7.75%E -2.79%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.41%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.41%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 06:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 06:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 13:56 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 14:15 |