Lingua:Italiano
Brandon Nakashima v Alex Michelsen
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Brandon Nakashima (Casa)
Previsione 66.81%1.50quota equa
EV -2.45%
Vantaggio -1.68%
Kelly -5.33%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.57%66.86%66.90%68.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.421.431.4673.53%70.34%69.93%68.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alex Michelsen (Trasferta)
Previsione 33.19%3.01quota equa
EV +1.21%
Vantaggio +0.398%
Kelly +0.592%
Crescita +0.007%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.19%33.14%33.10%34.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.872.853.0536.36%34.87%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Brandon Nakashima (Casa): 66.81%; Alex Michelsen (Trasferta): 33.19%. Per Alex Michelsen (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.01. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.05, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.21%.
Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +1.21%E +0.398%K +0.592%G +0.007% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV +0.883%E +0.290%K +0.433%G +0.004% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.79%E -4.11%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.13%E -6.71%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66%EV -0.777%E -0.260%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.11%E -0.372%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -1.44%E -0.485%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 13:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.79%E -4.11%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.09%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 11:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 12:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -2.45%E -1.68%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -7.75%E -2.79%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.41%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.41%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 06:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 06:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 13:56 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 14:15 |