النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Brandon Nakashima v Alex Michelsen

البداية: 2026-09-02 15:04 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Brandon Nakashima 0–3 Alex Michelsen

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Brandon Nakashima (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.81%1.50السعر العادل
EV -2.45%
الأفضلية -1.68%
Kelly -5.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.57%66.86%66.90%68.81%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.421.431.4673.53%70.34%69.93%68.49%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Alex Michelsen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.19%3.01السعر العادل
EV +1.21%
الأفضلية +0.398%
Kelly +0.592%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.19%33.14%33.10%34.43%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.872.853.0536.36%34.87%35.09%32.79%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Brandon Nakashima (المضيف)⁩: ⁨66.81%⁩؛ ⁨Alex Michelsen (الضيف)⁩: ⁨33.19%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Alex Michelsen (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨3.01⁩. عرضت شركتا مراهنات (2) سعري إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨3.05⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+1.21%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +1.21%E +0.398%K +0.592%G +0.007%4.7%2026-09-02 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV +0.883%E +0.290%K +0.433%G +0.004%4.8%2026-09-02 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:54
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.79%E -4.11%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 14:40
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.13%E -6.71%K -25.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66%EV -0.777%E -0.260%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 14:35
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.11%E -0.372%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -1.44%E -0.485%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:49
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:34
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 14:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 11:00
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:55
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:53
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:40
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 13:04
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:00
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 10:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.79%E -4.11%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.09%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 10:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 11:03
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 10:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 12:25
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 14:46
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -2.45%E -1.68%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -7.75%E -2.79%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 11:00
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.41%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.41%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 10:55
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 11:00
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 06:15
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 06:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 11:00
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 11:00
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 14:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:35
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 13:56
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 12:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (8)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-09-02 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-09-02 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-09-02 14:51
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-09-02 14:20
Novig◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84%0.4%2026-09-02 14:55
ProphetX◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-09-02 14:55
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-09-02 12:20
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-09-02 14:15