Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Brandon Nakashima v Alex Michelsen

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Previsão 58.57%1.71odd justa
EV -2.19%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -3.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.38%58.56%58.67%59.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.611.611.6764.10%62.18%62.11%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alex Michelsen (Visitante)

Previsão 41.43%2.41odd justa
EV -2.64%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.05%41.44%41.33%42.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.282.302.3547.62%43.82%43.48%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 58.57%; Alex Michelsen (Visitante): 41.43%. Para Brandon Nakashima (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.71. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.67, com valor esperado de -2.19%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.19%E -1.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 01:09
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 23:10
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.36%E -2.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.95%E -2.41%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 01:50
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.53%E -2.78%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.47%E -1.49%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 04:05
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 23:45
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 04:20
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 21:40
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 23:15
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 01:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.12%E -3.16%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 04:05
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:00
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:45
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 02:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 02:45
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.54%E -2.43%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 01:50
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 00:03
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -7.19%E -3.21%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.29%E -3.93%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 23:00
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.88%E -4.32%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 03:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 23:09
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 23:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.63%E -5.53%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -8.63%E -5.53%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.99%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-01 04:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-09-01 05:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-09-01 05:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-09-01 05:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-09-01 05:10
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%3.7%2026-09-01 05:15
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%12.6%2026-08-31 23:10
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 59.40%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.60%13.0%2026-09-01 05:15
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 68.35%2.44I 40.98%NM 31.65%29.5%2026-09-01 05:09