Język:Polski
Brandon Nakashima v Alex Michelsen
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Brandon Nakashima (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 66.81%1.50kurs godziwy
EV -2.45%
Przewaga -1.68%
Kelly -5.33%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.46
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.57%66.86%66.90%68.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.361.421.431.4673.53%70.34%69.93%68.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Alex Michelsen (Goście)
Prognoza 33.19%3.01kurs godziwy
EV +1.21%
Przewaga +0.398%
Kelly +0.592%
Wzrost +0.007%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.05
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.19%33.14%33.10%34.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.872.853.0536.36%34.87%35.09%32.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Brandon Nakashima (Gospodarze): 66.81%; Alex Michelsen (Goście): 33.19%. Dla wyniku Alex Michelsen (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.01. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.05, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.21%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +1.21%E +0.398%K +0.592%G +0.007% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV +0.883%E +0.290%K +0.433%G +0.004% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.79%E -4.11%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.13%E -6.71%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.445%E -0.148%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66%EV -0.777%E -0.260%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.11%E -0.372%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -1.44%E -0.485%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.10%E -0.713%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 13:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.79%E -4.11%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.09%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 11:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 12:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -2.45%E -1.68%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -7.75%E -2.79%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.41%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.41%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 06:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 06:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.45%E -3.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 13:56 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.46%E -4.61%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 14:15 |