Language:English
Andrea Guerrieri v Alex de Minaur
Head to Head
Andrea Guerrieri (Local)
Prediction 7.99%12.52fair odd
EV +171.63%
Edge +5.05%
Kelly +5.20%
Growth +8.93%
assuming max odds 34.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.88%7.94%7.98%11.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.9012.4311.5034.0012.66%8.05%8.70%2.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alex de Minaur (Visit)
Prediction 92.01%1.09fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -3.23%
Kelly -67.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.57%92.06%92.02%97.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.031.041.05100.00%96.71%96.15%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Andrea Guerrieri (Local): 7.99%; Alex de Minaur (Visit): 92.01%. For Andrea Guerrieri (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.52. 14 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 34.00, producing a positive expected value of +171.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +171.63%E +5.05%K +5.20%G +8.93% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -7.07%E -7.00%K -706.90%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +67.77%E +3.23%K +3.39%G +2.30% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +6.65%E +0.498%K +0.539%G +0.036% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 08:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 07:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 08:42 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 08:41 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 12.93I 7.73%NM 7.44%EV +3.30%E +0.255%K +0.277%G +0.009% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.56%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 12.80I 7.81%NM 7.38%EV +2.26%E +0.177%K +0.192%G +0.004% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.62%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 12.11I 8.26%NM 7.98%EV -3.25%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.02%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 08:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 08:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.00%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 92.00%EV -7.99%E -7.99%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -16.11%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 07:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 11:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -24.10%E -2.54%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 07:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.43%EV -36.89%E -4.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 88.57%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.98% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.02% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 10:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 12:50 |
| Novig◎ | 11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 87.28% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
Arbitrage (30 combinations) +1.85%1xBet 34.00 (3.0%) / PlayUp 1.05 (97.0%)Show all 30 combinations
| Andrea Guerrieri (Local) | Alex de Minaur (Visit) | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | GTbets🎯 1.05 (97.0%) | +1.85% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | PlayUp🎯 1.05 (97.0%) | +1.85% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | theScore Bet🎯 1.05 (97.0%) | +1.85% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Winamax (DE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | betano_uk🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | BetOnline.ag🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | LowVig.ag🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Betclic (FR)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Winamax (FR)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | BetRivers🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Unibet🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Casumo🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Virgin Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | TABtouch🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Grosvenor🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | LiveScore Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Bally Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Svenska Spel🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | ATG (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | betPARX🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | 888sport🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | 888sport (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Fanatics🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Caesars🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |