Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andrea Guerrieri v Alex de Minaur

2026-08-31 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andrea Guerrieri (Local)

Previsão 7.99%12.52odd justa
EV +171.63%
Vantagem +5.05%
Kelly +5.20%
Crescimento +8.93%

pressupondo odds máximas de 34.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
2.88%7.94%7.98%11.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.9012.4311.5034.0012.66%8.05%8.70%2.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alex de Minaur (Visitante)

Previsão 92.01%1.09odd justa
EV -3.39%
Vantagem -3.23%
Kelly -67.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
88.57%92.06%92.02%97.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.001.031.041.05100.00%96.71%96.15%95.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Andrea Guerrieri (Local): 7.99%; Alex de Minaur (Visitante): 92.01%. Para Andrea Guerrieri (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 12.52. 14 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 34.00, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +171.63%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +171.63%E +5.05%K +5.20%G +8.93%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -7.07%E -7.00%K -706.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 12:55
BoyleSports🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +67.77%E +3.23%K +3.39%G +2.30%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-29 07:45
BetAnything🎯13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +6.65%E +0.498%K +0.539%G +0.036%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 08:00
betano_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 07:44
Coral🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 08:40
Bovada🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 08:42
betfred_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 08:40
Neds🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 08:41
Pinnacle🎯12.93I 7.73%NM 7.44%EV +3.30%E +0.255%K +0.277%G +0.009%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.56%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 08:35
DraftKings🎯12.80I 7.81%NM 7.38%EV +2.26%E +0.177%K +0.192%G +0.004%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.62%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 07:45
BetOnline.ag🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 08:50
Betr (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 13:35
GTbets🎯12.11I 8.26%NM 7.98%EV -3.25%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.02%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 08:09
Winamax (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 08:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 10:56
Betway🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 07:45
SportsBet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 07:45
BetRivers🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Casumo🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
Virgin Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
TABtouch🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
Grosvenor🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
LiveScore Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
Bally Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
betPARX🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:53
NetBet (FR)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.00%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 92.00%EV -7.99%E -7.99%K +0.000%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 12:30
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
Fanatics🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -16.11%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 07:44
PlayUp🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
theScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
Caesars🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:08
LeoVegas🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -24.10%E -2.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 07:50
ReBet🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 11.43%EV -36.89%E -4.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 88.57%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 07:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi16.67I 6.00%NM 5.98%1.06I 94.34%NM 94.02%0.3%2026-08-29 10:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%1.9%2026-08-29 10:50
Matchbook15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%1.9%2026-08-29 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%1.9%2026-08-29 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%1.9%2026-08-29 10:45
Smarkets14.99I 6.67%NM 6.37%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%4.7%2026-08-29 13:20
ProphetX13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%4.8%2026-08-29 12:50
Novig11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02%6.5%2026-08-29 13:45
Arbitragem (30 combinações) +1.85%1xBet 34.00 (3.0%) / PlayUp 1.05 (97.0%)Mostrar as 30 combinações
Andrea Guerrieri (Local)Alex de Minaur (Visitante)Margem
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)GTbets🎯 1.05 (97.0%)+1.85%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)PlayUp🎯 1.05 (97.0%)+1.85%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)theScore Bet🎯 1.05 (97.0%)+1.85%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Winamax (DE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)betano_uk🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Pinnacle🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)BetOnline.ag🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)LowVig.ag🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Betclic (FR)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Winamax (FR)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)BetRivers🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Unibet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Unibet (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Casumo🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Virgin Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Unibet (NL)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)TABtouch🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Grosvenor🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)LiveScore Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Bally Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Svenska Spel🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)ATG (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)betPARX🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)888sport🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)888sport (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Fanatics🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Caesars🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%