Langue:Français
Andrea Guerrieri v Alex de Minaur
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Andrea Guerrieri (Local)
Prévision 8.23%12.14cote équitable
EV +72.91%
Avantage +3.47%
Kelly +3.65%
Croissance +2.66%
avec la cote maximale 21.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.59%8.04%8.50%10.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0011.9812.0021.0011.11%8.35%8.33%4.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alex de Minaur (Visiteur)
Prévision 91.77%1.09cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -2.57%
Kelly -45.47%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.46%91.96%91.50%95.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.031.031.0699.01%96.73%97.09%94.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Andrea Guerrieri (Local) : 8.23% ; Alex de Minaur (Visiteur) : 91.77%. Pour Andrea Guerrieri (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 12.14. 18 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 21.00, soit une espérance positive de +72.91%.
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +72.91%E +3.47%K +3.65%G +2.66% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -7.32%E -7.24%K -731.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 11:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +23.51%E +1.57%K +1.68%G +0.395% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +15.28%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.179% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +13.63%E +0.988%K +1.06%G +0.145% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 07:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +6.22%E +0.482%K +0.523%G +0.032% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.32%E -7.24%K -731.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 08:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.83%EV +0.866%E +0.071%K +0.077%G +0.001% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.17%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.69%EV +0.866%E +0.071%K +0.077%G +0.001% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.31%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 11.98I 8.35%NM 7.92%EV -1.36%E -0.113%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.08%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.37I 8.80%NM 8.53%EV -6.38%E -0.561%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.47%EV -2.73%E -2.57%K -45.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -7.78%E -0.695%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -7.78%E -0.695%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 12:16 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -13.54%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -15.60%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.65%E -3.47%K -72.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -25.89%E -2.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.73%E -2.57%K -45.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 17:50 |
| Novig◎ | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 17:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 18:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.29% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.71% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |