Idioma:Español
Andrea Guerrieri v Alex de Minaur
Resultado del partido
Andrea Guerrieri (Local)
Predicción 7.99%12.52momio equitativo
EV +171.63%
Ventaja +5.05%
Kelly +5.20%
Crecimiento +8.93%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 34.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
2.88%7.94%7.98%11.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.9012.4311.5034.0012.66%8.05%8.70%2.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alex de Minaur (Visitante)
Predicción 92.01%1.09momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -3.23%
Kelly -67.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
88.57%92.06%92.02%97.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.001.031.041.05100.00%96.71%96.15%95.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Andrea Guerrieri (Local): 7.99%; Alex de Minaur (Visitante): 92.01%. Para Andrea Guerrieri (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 12.52. 14 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 34.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +171.63%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +171.63%E +5.05%K +5.20%G +8.93% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -7.07%E -7.00%K -706.90%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +67.77%E +3.23%K +3.39%G +2.30% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +6.65%E +0.498%K +0.539%G +0.036% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 08:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 07:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 08:42 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 08:41 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 12.93I 7.73%NM 7.44%EV +3.30%E +0.255%K +0.277%G +0.009% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.56%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 12.80I 7.81%NM 7.38%EV +2.26%E +0.177%K +0.192%G +0.004% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.62%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 12.11I 8.26%NM 7.98%EV -3.25%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.02%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 08:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 08:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:56 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 10:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.00%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 92.00%EV -7.99%E -7.99%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -16.11%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 07:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 11:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -24.10%E -2.54%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 07:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.43%EV -36.89%E -4.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 88.57%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.98% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.02% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 10:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 14.99I 6.67%NM 6.37% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 13:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 12:50 |
| Novig◎ | 11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
Arbitraje (30 combinaciones) +1.85%1xBet 34.00 (3.0%) / PlayUp 1.05 (97.0%)Ver las 30 combinaciones
| Andrea Guerrieri (Local) | Alex de Minaur (Visitante) | Margen |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | GTbets🎯 1.05 (97.0%) | +1.85% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | PlayUp🎯 1.05 (97.0%) | +1.85% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | theScore Bet🎯 1.05 (97.0%) | +1.85% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Winamax (DE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | betano_uk🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | BetOnline.ag🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | LowVig.ag🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Betclic (FR)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Winamax (FR)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | BetRivers🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Unibet🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Casumo🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Virgin Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | TABtouch🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Grosvenor🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | LiveScore Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Bally Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Svenska Spel🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | ATG (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | betPARX🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | 888sport🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | 888sport (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Fanatics🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |
| 1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%) | Caesars🎯 1.04 (97.0%) | +0.913% |