StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Andrea Guerrieri v Alex de Minaur

2026-08-31 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Andrea Guerrieri (Heim)

Prognose 7.99%12.52faire Quote
EV +171.63%
Vorteil +5.05%
Kelly +5.20%
Wachstum +8.93%

bei einer Höchstquote von 34.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
2.88%7.94%7.98%11.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.9012.4311.5034.0012.66%8.05%8.70%2.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Auswärts)

Prognose 92.01%1.09faire Quote
EV -3.39%
Vorteil -3.23%
Kelly -67.77%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
88.57%92.06%92.02%97.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.001.031.041.05100.00%96.71%96.15%95.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Andrea Guerrieri (Heim): 7.99%; Alex de Minaur (Auswärts): 92.01%. Für Andrea Guerrieri (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 12.52. 14 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 34.00 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +171.63%.

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +171.63%E +5.05%K +5.20%G +8.93%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -7.07%E -7.00%K -706.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 12:55
BoyleSports🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +67.77%E +3.23%K +3.39%G +2.30%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-29 07:45
BetAnything🎯13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +6.65%E +0.498%K +0.539%G +0.036%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 08:00
betano_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 07:44
Coral🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 08:40
Bovada🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 08:42
betfred_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 08:40
Neds🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 08:41
Pinnacle🎯12.93I 7.73%NM 7.44%EV +3.30%E +0.255%K +0.277%G +0.009%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.56%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 08:35
DraftKings🎯12.80I 7.81%NM 7.38%EV +2.26%E +0.177%K +0.192%G +0.004%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.62%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 07:45
BetOnline.ag🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 08:50
Betr (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 13:35
GTbets🎯12.11I 8.26%NM 7.98%EV -3.25%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.02%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 08:09
Winamax (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 08:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 10:56
Betway🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 07:45
SportsBet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 07:45
BetRivers🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Casumo🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
Virgin Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
TABtouch🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
Grosvenor🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
LiveScore Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
Bally Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
betPARX🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:53
NetBet (FR)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.00%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 92.00%EV -7.99%E -7.99%K +0.000%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 12:30
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
Fanatics🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -16.11%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 07:44
PlayUp🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
theScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
Caesars🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:08
LeoVegas🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -24.10%E -2.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 07:50
ReBet🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 11.43%EV -36.89%E -4.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 88.57%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 07:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi16.67I 6.00%NM 5.98%1.06I 94.34%NM 94.02%0.3%2026-08-29 10:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%1.9%2026-08-29 10:50
Matchbook15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%1.9%2026-08-29 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%1.9%2026-08-29 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%1.9%2026-08-29 10:45
Smarkets14.99I 6.67%NM 6.37%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%4.7%2026-08-29 13:20
ProphetX13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%4.8%2026-08-29 12:50
Novig11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02%6.5%2026-08-29 13:45
Arbitrage (30 Kombinationen) +1.85%1xBet 34.00 (3.0%) / PlayUp 1.05 (97.0%)Alle 30 Kombinationen anzeigen
Andrea Guerrieri (Heim)Alex de Minaur (Auswärts)Marge
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)GTbets🎯 1.05 (97.0%)+1.85%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)PlayUp🎯 1.05 (97.0%)+1.85%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)theScore Bet🎯 1.05 (97.0%)+1.85%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Winamax (DE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)betano_uk🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Pinnacle🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)BetOnline.ag🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)LowVig.ag🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Betclic (FR)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Winamax (FR)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)BetRivers🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Unibet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Unibet (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Casumo🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Virgin Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Unibet (NL)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)TABtouch🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Grosvenor🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)LiveScore Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Bally Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Svenska Spel🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)ATG (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)betPARX🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)888sport🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)888sport (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Fanatics🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Caesars🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%