Sprache:Deutsch
Andrea Guerrieri v Alex de Minaur
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Andrea Guerrieri (Heim)
Prognose 8.23%12.14faire Quote
EV +72.91%
Vorteil +3.47%
Kelly +3.65%
Wachstum +2.66%
bei einer Höchstquote von 21.00
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
4.59%8.04%8.50%10.54%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
9.0011.9812.0021.0011.11%8.35%8.33%4.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Alex de Minaur (Auswärts)
Prognose 91.77%1.09faire Quote
EV -2.73%
Vorteil -2.57%
Kelly -45.47%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.06
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
89.46%91.96%91.50%95.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.011.031.031.0699.01%96.73%97.09%94.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Andrea Guerrieri (Heim): 8.23%; Alex de Minaur (Auswärts): 91.77%. Für Andrea Guerrieri (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 12.14. 18 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 21.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +72.91%.
Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +72.91%E +3.47%K +3.65%G +2.66% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -7.32%E -7.24%K -731.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 11:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +23.51%E +1.57%K +1.68%G +0.395% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +15.28%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.179% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +13.63%E +0.988%K +1.06%G +0.145% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 07:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +6.22%E +0.482%K +0.523%G +0.032% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.32%E -7.24%K -731.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 08:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.83%EV +0.866%E +0.071%K +0.077%G +0.001% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.17%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.69%EV +0.866%E +0.071%K +0.077%G +0.001% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.31%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 11.98I 8.35%NM 7.92%EV -1.36%E -0.113%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.08%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.37I 8.80%NM 8.53%EV -6.38%E -0.561%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.47%EV -2.73%E -2.57%K -45.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -7.78%E -0.695%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -7.78%E -0.695%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 12:16 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -13.54%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -15.60%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.65%E -3.47%K -72.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -25.89%E -2.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.73%E -2.57%K -45.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (8)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 17:50 |
| Novig◎ | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 17:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 18:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.29% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.71% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |