StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Andrea Guerrieri v Alex de Minaur

Matchstart: 2026-09-02 18:06 UTC

Slutresultat: Andrea Guerrieri 0–3 Alex de Minaur

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Andrea Guerrieri (Hemma)

Prognos 8.23%12.14rättvist odds
EV +72.91%
Fördel +3.47%
Kelly +3.65%
Tillväxt +2.66%

med antagandet om högsta odds 21.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
4.59%8.04%8.50%10.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.0011.9812.0021.0011.11%8.35%8.33%4.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Borta)

Prognos 91.77%1.09rättvist odds
EV -2.73%
Fördel -2.57%
Kelly -45.47%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.06

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
89.46%91.96%91.50%95.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.011.031.031.0699.01%96.73%97.09%94.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Andrea Guerrieri (Hemma): 8.23%; Alex de Minaur (Borta): 91.77%. För Andrea Guerrieri (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 12.14. 18 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 21.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +72.91%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +72.91%E +3.47%K +3.65%G +2.66%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -7.32%E -7.24%K -731.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 11:25
Sky Bet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +23.51%E +1.57%K +1.68%G +0.395%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 07:05
Paddy Power🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +15.28%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.179%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 07:05
FanDuel🎯13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +13.63%E +0.988%K +1.06%G +0.145%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 07:10
Coral🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 17:35
Bovada🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:00
1xBet🎯12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +6.22%E +0.482%K +0.523%G +0.032%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 08:50
SportsBet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 07:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 13:55
Neds🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 13:55
NetBet (FR)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.32%E -7.24%K -731.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 08:15
ReBet🎯12.25I 8.16%NM 7.83%EV +0.866%E +0.071%K +0.077%G +0.001%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.17%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:35
Fliff🎯12.25I 8.16%NM 7.69%EV +0.866%E +0.071%K +0.077%G +0.001%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.31%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:05
BetRivers🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
Unibet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
Casumo🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
Virgin Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
TABtouch🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
Grosvenor🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
Betway🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:50
Bally Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:30
betPARX🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:35
GTbets🎯11.98I 8.35%NM 7.92%EV -1.36%E -0.113%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.08%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:35
Pinnacle🎯11.37I 8.80%NM 8.53%EV -6.38%E -0.561%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.47%EV -2.73%E -2.57%K -45.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 17:45
DraftKings🎯11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -7.78%E -0.695%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:45
BetAnything🎯11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -7.78%E -0.695%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 18:10
Fanatics🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 18:00
betano_uk🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:53
Betsson🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:35
NordicBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:35
betfred_uk🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:55
Caesars🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 12:16
BetMGM🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 13:55
LeoVegas🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -13.54%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -15.60%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 18:05
theScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.65%E -3.47%K -72.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 16:55
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:05
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:04
PlayUp🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -25.89%E -2.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.73%E -2.57%K -45.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 18:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-09-02 18:00
Matchbook◎16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-09-02 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-09-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-09-02 18:00
Kalshi◎14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%1.3%2026-09-02 17:50
Novig◎14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%1.3%2026-09-02 17:46
ProphetX◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96%1.5%2026-09-02 18:01
Smarkets◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.29%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.71%2.6%2026-09-02 17:55