Lingua:Italiano
Andrea Guerrieri v Alex de Minaur
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Andrea Guerrieri (Casa)
Previsione 8.23%12.14quota equa
EV +72.91%
Vantaggio +3.47%
Kelly +3.65%
Crescita +2.66%
ipotizzando la quota massima 21.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
4.59%8.04%8.50%10.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
9.0011.9812.0021.0011.11%8.35%8.33%4.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alex de Minaur (Trasferta)
Previsione 91.77%1.09quota equa
EV -2.73%
Vantaggio -2.57%
Kelly -45.47%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.06
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
89.46%91.96%91.50%95.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.031.031.0699.01%96.73%97.09%94.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Andrea Guerrieri (Casa): 8.23%; Alex de Minaur (Trasferta): 91.77%. Per Andrea Guerrieri (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 12.14. 18 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 21.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +72.91%.
Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +72.91%E +3.47%K +3.65%G +2.66% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -7.32%E -7.24%K -731.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 11:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +23.51%E +1.57%K +1.68%G +0.395% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +15.28%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.179% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +13.63%E +0.988%K +1.06%G +0.145% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 07:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +7.04%E +0.542%K +0.587%G +0.041% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +6.22%E +0.482%K +0.523%G +0.032% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +2.92%E +0.234%K +0.254%G +0.007% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.32%E -7.24%K -731.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 08:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.83%EV +0.866%E +0.071%K +0.077%G +0.001% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.17%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.69%EV +0.866%E +0.071%K +0.077%G +0.001% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.31%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.19%E -0.099%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 11.98I 8.35%NM 7.92%EV -1.36%E -0.113%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.08%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.37I 8.80%NM 8.53%EV -6.38%E -0.561%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.47%EV -2.73%E -2.57%K -45.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -7.78%E -0.695%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -7.78%E -0.695%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 12:16 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.43%E -0.857%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -13.54%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -15.60%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.65%E -3.47%K -72.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.66%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.39%K -114.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -25.89%E -2.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.73%E -2.57%K -45.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 17:50 |
| Novig◎ | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 17:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 18:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.29% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.71% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |