Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Andrea Guerrieri v Alex de Minaur

2026-08-31 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Zwycięzca spotkania

47 bukmacherów (14 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Andrea Guerrieri (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 7.99%12.52kurs godziwy
EV +171.63%
Przewaga +5.05%
Kelly +5.20%
Wzrost +8.93%

przy maksymalnym kursie 34.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
2.88%7.94%7.98%11.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.9012.4311.5034.0012.66%8.05%8.70%2.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alex de Minaur (Goście)

Prognoza 92.01%1.09kurs godziwy
EV -3.39%
Przewaga -3.23%
Kelly -67.77%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
88.57%92.06%92.02%97.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.001.031.041.05100.00%96.71%96.15%95.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Andrea Guerrieri (Gospodarze): 7.99%; Alex de Minaur (Goście): 92.01%. Dla wyniku Andrea Guerrieri (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 12.52. 14 bukmacherów oferuje kursy powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 34.00, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +171.63%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +171.63%E +5.05%K +5.20%G +8.93%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -7.07%E -7.00%K -706.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 12:55
BoyleSports🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +67.77%E +3.23%K +3.39%G +2.30%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-29 07:45
BetAnything🎯13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +6.65%E +0.498%K +0.539%G +0.036%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 08:00
betano_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 07:44
Coral🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 08:40
Bovada🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 08:42
betfred_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 08:40
Neds🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.86%E +0.297%K +0.321%G +0.012%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 08:41
Pinnacle🎯12.93I 7.73%NM 7.44%EV +3.30%E +0.255%K +0.277%G +0.009%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.56%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 08:35
DraftKings🎯12.80I 7.81%NM 7.38%EV +2.26%E +0.177%K +0.192%G +0.004%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.62%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 07:45
BetOnline.ag🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 08:50
Betr (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -0.137%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 13:35
GTbets🎯12.11I 8.26%NM 7.98%EV -3.25%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.02%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 08:09
Winamax (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 08:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 10:56
Betway🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 07:45
SportsBet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.13%E -0.344%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 07:45
BetRivers🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Casumo🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
Virgin Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
TABtouch🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
Grosvenor🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
LiveScore Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
Bally Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:56
betPARX🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:53
NetBet (FR)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.00%EV -8.13%E -0.707%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 92.00%EV -7.99%E -7.99%K +0.000%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 12:30
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.12%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
Fanatics🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -16.11%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 07:44
PlayUp🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
theScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.39%E -3.23%K -67.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 07:45
Caesars🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.11%E -2.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.31%E -4.14%K -107.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:08
LeoVegas🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -24.10%E -2.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -5.23%E -5.08%K -174.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 07:50
ReBet🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 11.43%EV -36.89%E -4.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 88.57%EV -6.15%E -6.03%K -307.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 07:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (8)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi16.67I 6.00%NM 5.98%1.06I 94.34%NM 94.02%0.3%2026-08-29 10:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%1.9%2026-08-29 10:50
Matchbook15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%1.9%2026-08-29 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%1.9%2026-08-29 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%1.9%2026-08-29 10:45
Smarkets14.99I 6.67%NM 6.37%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%4.7%2026-08-29 13:20
ProphetX13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%4.8%2026-08-29 12:50
Novig11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02%6.5%2026-08-29 13:45
Arbitraż (30 kombinacji) +1.85%1xBet 34.00 (3.0%) / PlayUp 1.05 (97.0%)Pokaż wszystkie kombinacje (30)
Andrea Guerrieri (Gospodarze)Alex de Minaur (Goście)Marża
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)GTbets🎯 1.05 (97.0%)+1.85%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)PlayUp🎯 1.05 (97.0%)+1.85%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)theScore Bet🎯 1.05 (97.0%)+1.85%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Winamax (DE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)betano_uk🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Pinnacle🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)BetOnline.ag🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)LowVig.ag🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Betclic (FR)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Winamax (FR)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)BetRivers🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Unibet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Unibet (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Casumo🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Virgin Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Unibet (NL)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)TABtouch🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Grosvenor🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)LiveScore Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Bally Bet🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Svenska Spel🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)ATG (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)betPARX🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)888sport🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)888sport (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Fanatics🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%
1xBet🎯 34.00 (3.0%)Caesars🎯 1.04 (97.0%)+0.913%