语言:简体中文
Alejandro Tabilo v Joao Fonseca
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Alejandro Tabilo (主队)
预测 32.68%3.06公平赔率
EV +0.643%
优势 +0.209%
Kelly +0.309%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 3.08
博彩公司预测分布
30.79%32.70%32.56%34.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.882.883.0837.04%34.73%34.72%32.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
Joao Fonseca (客队)
预测 67.32%1.49公平赔率
EV +0.312%
优势 +0.209%
Kelly +0.637%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 1.49
博彩公司预测分布
65.53%67.30%67.44%69.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.411.401.4974.07%71.07%71.43%67.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Alejandro Tabilo (主队)：32.68%；Joao Fonseca (客队)：67.32%。 对于“Alejandro Tabilo (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.06。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.08，对应+0.643%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV +0.643%E +0.209%K +0.309%G +0.002% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +0.317%E +0.103%K +0.153%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -2.62%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -3.28%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.11%E -6.75%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.26%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.58%E -1.57%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.86%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.14%EV +0.312%E +0.209%K +0.637%G +0.002% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 08:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.05%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 08:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.09%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |