Szkoła Kursów

Alejandro Tabilo v Joao Fonseca

Początek: 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 32.68%3.06kurs godziwy
EV +0.643%
Przewaga +0.209%
Kelly +0.309%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.08

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.79%32.70%32.56%34.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.882.883.0837.04%34.73%34.72%32.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Joao Fonseca (Goście)

Prognoza 67.32%1.49kurs godziwy
EV +0.312%
Przewaga +0.209%
Kelly +0.637%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.49

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.53%67.30%67.44%69.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.351.411.401.4974.07%71.07%71.43%67.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV +0.643%E +0.209%K +0.309%G +0.002%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
DraftKings3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +0.317%E +0.103%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 09:00
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betclic (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -2.62%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 08:55
FanDuel2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -3.28%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 08:59
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 08:59
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 08:59
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 08:59
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.11%E -6.75%K -26.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Coolbet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.26%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
SportsBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.58%E -1.57%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 33.86%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.14%EV +0.312%E +0.209%K +0.637%G +0.002%1.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 08:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 08:58
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.05%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 08:58
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 08:59
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.09%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 09:00
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%3.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.3%2026-04-14 09:00