A Escola das Odds

Alejandro Tabilo v Joao Fonseca

Início: 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (Local)

Previsão 32.68%3.06odd justa
EV +0.643%
Vantagem +0.209%
Kelly +0.309%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.79%32.70%32.56%34.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.882.883.0837.04%34.73%34.72%32.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Joao Fonseca (Visitante)

Previsão 67.32%1.49odd justa
EV +0.312%
Vantagem +0.209%
Kelly +0.637%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.53%67.30%67.44%69.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.351.411.401.4974.07%71.07%71.43%67.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV +0.643%E +0.209%K +0.309%G +0.002%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
DraftKings3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +0.317%E +0.103%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 09:00
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betclic (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -2.62%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 08:55
FanDuel2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -3.28%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 08:59
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 08:59
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 08:59
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 08:59
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.11%E -6.75%K -26.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Coolbet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.26%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
SportsBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.58%E -1.57%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 33.86%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.14%EV +0.312%E +0.209%K +0.637%G +0.002%1.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 08:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 08:58
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.05%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 08:58
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 08:59
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.09%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 09:00
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%3.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.3%2026-04-14 09:00