Die Wettquotenschule

Alejandro Tabilo v Joao Fonseca

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (Heim)

Prognose 32.68%3.06faire Quote
EV +0.643%
Vorteil +0.209%
Kelly +0.309%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.08

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.79%32.70%32.56%34.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.702.882.883.0837.04%34.73%34.72%32.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Joao Fonseca (Auswärts)

Prognose 67.32%1.49faire Quote
EV +0.312%
Vorteil +0.209%
Kelly +0.637%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.49

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.53%67.30%67.44%69.21%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.351.411.401.4974.07%71.07%71.43%67.11%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV +0.643%E +0.209%K +0.309%G +0.002%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
DraftKings3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +0.317%E +0.103%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 09:00
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betclic (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -2.62%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 08:55
FanDuel2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -3.28%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 08:59
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 08:59
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 08:59
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 08:59
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.11%E -6.75%K -26.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Coolbet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.26%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
SportsBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.58%E -1.57%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 33.86%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.14%EV +0.312%E +0.209%K +0.637%G +0.002%1.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 08:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 08:58
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.05%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 08:58
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 08:59
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.09%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 09:00
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%3.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.3%2026-04-14 09:00