مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alejandro Tabilo v Joao Fonseca

البداية: 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.68%3.06السعر العادل
EV +0.643%
الأفضلية +0.209%
Kelly +0.309%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.79%32.70%32.56%34.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.882.883.0837.04%34.73%34.72%32.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Joao Fonseca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 67.32%1.49السعر العادل
EV +0.312%
الأفضلية +0.209%
Kelly +0.637%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.49

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.53%67.30%67.44%69.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.351.411.401.4974.07%71.07%71.43%67.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV +0.643%E +0.209%K +0.309%G +0.002%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
DraftKings3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +0.317%E +0.103%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 09:00
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betclic (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -2.62%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 08:55
FanDuel2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -3.28%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 08:59
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 08:59
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 08:59
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 08:59
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.11%E -6.75%K -26.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Coolbet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.26%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
SportsBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.58%E -1.57%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 33.86%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.14%EV +0.312%E +0.209%K +0.637%G +0.002%1.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 08:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 08:58
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.05%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 08:58
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 08:59
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.09%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 09:00
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 09:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%3.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.3%2026-04-14 09:00