L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alejandro Tabilo v Joao Fonseca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Prévision 32.68%3.06cote équitable
EV +0.643%
Avantage +0.209%
Kelly +0.309%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.79%32.70%32.56%34.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.882.883.0837.04%34.73%34.72%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Joao Fonseca (Visiteur)
Prévision 67.32%1.49cote équitable
EV +0.312%
Avantage +0.209%
Kelly +0.637%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 1.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.53%67.30%67.44%69.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.411.401.4974.07%71.07%71.43%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV +0.643%E +0.209%K +0.309%G +0.002% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +0.317%E +0.103%K +0.153%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -2.62%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 08:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -3.28%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetUS | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| ReBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.11%E -6.75%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.26%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.58%E -1.57%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| GTbets | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.86%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.14%EV +0.312%E +0.209%K +0.637%G +0.002% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Casumo | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betsson | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Fliff | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 08:58 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.05%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Caesars | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 08:58 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.09%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ProphetX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Novig | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |