La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alejandro Tabilo v Joao Fonseca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Predicción 32.68%3.06momio equitativo
EV +0.643%
Ventaja +0.209%
Kelly +0.309%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.79%32.70%32.56%34.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.882.883.0837.04%34.73%34.72%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Joao Fonseca (Visitante)
Predicción 67.32%1.49momio equitativo
EV +0.312%
Ventaja +0.209%
Kelly +0.637%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.53%67.30%67.44%69.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.411.401.4974.07%71.07%71.43%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV +0.643%E +0.209%K +0.309%G +0.002% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +0.317%E +0.103%K +0.153%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -2.62%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 08:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -3.28%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetUS | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| ReBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.11%E -6.75%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.26%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.58%E -1.57%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| GTbets | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.86%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.14%EV +0.312%E +0.209%K +0.637%G +0.002% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Casumo | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betsson | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Fliff | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 08:58 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.05%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Caesars | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 08:58 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.09%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ProphetX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Novig | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |