The School of Odds

Alejandro Tabilo v Joao Fonseca

Matchstart: 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (Hemma)

Prognos 32.68%3.06rättvist odds
EV +0.643%
Fördel +0.209%
Kelly +0.309%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.08

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.79%32.70%32.56%34.47%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.702.882.883.0837.04%34.73%34.72%32.47%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Joao Fonseca (Borta)

Prognos 67.32%1.49rättvist odds
EV +0.312%
Fördel +0.209%
Kelly +0.637%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.49

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.53%67.30%67.44%69.21%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.351.411.401.4974.07%71.07%71.43%67.11%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV +0.643%E +0.209%K +0.309%G +0.002%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
DraftKings3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +0.317%E +0.103%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 09:00
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.97%E -0.657%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betclic (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -2.62%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 08:55
FanDuel2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -3.28%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 08:59
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 08:59
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 08:59
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 08:59
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.11%E -6.75%K -26.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Coolbet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.26%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.07%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
SportsBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.58%E -1.57%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -20.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 33.86%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.14%EV +0.312%E +0.209%K +0.637%G +0.002%1.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 08:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 08:59
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.89%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.22%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 08:58
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.51%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.05%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 08:58
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 08:59
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.09%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 09:00
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 09:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%3.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.3%2026-04-14 09:00