The School of Odds

Carlos Alcaraz v Alexander Bublik

Matchstart: 2026-04-10 14:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Hemma)

Prognos 87.56%1.14rättvist odds
EV -2.80%
Fördel -2.53%
Kelly -25.50%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.11

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
85.53%87.54%87.57%90.06%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.041.071.071.1196.15%93.07%93.46%90.09%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Alexander Bublik (Borta)

Prognos 12.44%8.04rättvist odds
EV +19.39%
Fördel +2.02%
Kelly +2.25%
Tillväxt +0.437%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
9.94%12.46%12.43%14.47%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
6.507.948.009.6015.38%12.60%12.50%10.42%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +19.39%E +2.02%K +2.25%G +0.437%4.8%2026-04-10 14:04
BetUS1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +18.15%E +1.91%K +2.14%G +0.387%5.8%2026-04-10 14:00
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +11.93%E +1.33%K +1.49%G +0.178%5.5%2026-04-10 14:05
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.87%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.13%EV +8.20%E +0.942%K +1.06%G +0.087%3.2%2026-04-10 14:05
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Casumo1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
betPARX1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%7.0%2026-04-10 14:05
GTbets1.06I 94.34%NM 88.50%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.16I 12.25%NM 11.50%EV +1.48%E +0.182%K +0.207%G +0.003%6.6%2026-04-10 14:03
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001%4.1%2026-04-10 14:00
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001%4.1%2026-04-10 14:00
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -0.383%E -0.048%K -0.055%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 14:04
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Bet Right1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:01
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:05
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:05
ReBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 13:54
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
Fliff1.04I 96.15%NM 88.43%EV -8.93%E -8.59%K -223.35%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.57%EV -1.13%E -0.142%K -0.162%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 14:04
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.68%EV -2.80%E -2.53%K -25.50%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.32%EV -1.75%E -0.222%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-10 14:01
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 14:04
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 14:00
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:04
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 14:00
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 14:05
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:05
TAB1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:05
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:00
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:05
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:04
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 14:04
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 14:04
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -10.46%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 13:54
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.94%E -1.85%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 13:55
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 14:00
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 13:47
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 13:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%0.3%2026-04-10 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-04-10 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-04-10 14:05
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-04-10 14:05
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 89.30%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.70%0.9%2026-04-10 14:05
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.3%2026-04-10 14:05
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89%2.0%2026-04-10 14:05