Школа коэффициентов

Carlos Alcaraz v Alexander Bublik

Начало: 2026-04-10 14:15 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Хозяева)

Прогноз 87.56%1.14справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.80%
Преимущество -2.53%
Kelly -25.50%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.11

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
85.53%87.54%87.57%90.06%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.041.071.071.1196.15%93.07%93.46%90.09%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Alexander Bublik (Гости)

Прогноз 12.44%8.04справедливый коэффициент
EV +19.39%
Преимущество +2.02%
Kelly +2.25%
Рост +0.437%

при максимальном коэффициенте 9.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
9.94%12.46%12.43%14.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
6.507.948.009.6015.38%12.60%12.50%10.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +19.39%E +2.02%K +2.25%G +0.437%4.8%2026-04-10 14:04
BetUS1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +18.15%E +1.91%K +2.14%G +0.387%5.8%2026-04-10 14:00
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +11.93%E +1.33%K +1.49%G +0.178%5.5%2026-04-10 14:05
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.87%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.13%EV +8.20%E +0.942%K +1.06%G +0.087%3.2%2026-04-10 14:05
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Casumo1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
betPARX1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%7.0%2026-04-10 14:05
GTbets1.06I 94.34%NM 88.50%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.16I 12.25%NM 11.50%EV +1.48%E +0.182%K +0.207%G +0.003%6.6%2026-04-10 14:03
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001%4.1%2026-04-10 14:00
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001%4.1%2026-04-10 14:00
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -0.383%E -0.048%K -0.055%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 14:04
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Bet Right1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:01
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:05
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:05
ReBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 13:54
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
Fliff1.04I 96.15%NM 88.43%EV -8.93%E -8.59%K -223.35%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.57%EV -1.13%E -0.142%K -0.162%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 14:04
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.68%EV -2.80%E -2.53%K -25.50%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.32%EV -1.75%E -0.222%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-10 14:01
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 14:04
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 14:00
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:04
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 14:00
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 14:05
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:05
TAB1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:05
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:00
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:05
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:04
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 14:04
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 14:04
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -10.46%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 13:54
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.94%E -1.85%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 13:55
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 14:00
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 13:47
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 13:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%0.3%2026-04-10 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-04-10 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-04-10 14:05
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-04-10 14:05
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 89.30%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.70%0.9%2026-04-10 14:05
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.3%2026-04-10 14:05
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89%2.0%2026-04-10 14:05