Langue:Français
Carlos Alcaraz v Alexander Bublik
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Prévision 87.56%1.14cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -2.53%
Kelly -25.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.53%87.54%87.57%90.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.041.071.071.1196.15%93.07%93.46%90.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alexander Bublik (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.44%8.04cote équitable
EV +19.39%
Avantage +2.02%
Kelly +2.25%
Croissance +0.437%
avec la cote maximale 9.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.94%12.46%12.43%14.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.948.009.6015.38%12.60%12.50%10.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Carlos Alcaraz (Local) : 87.56% ; Alexander Bublik (Visiteur) : 12.44%. Pour Alexander Bublik (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.04. 22 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.60, soit une espérance positive de +19.39%.
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +19.39%E +2.02%K +2.25%G +0.437% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +18.15%E +1.91%K +2.14%G +0.387% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +11.93%E +1.33%K +1.49%G +0.178% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.87%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.13%EV +8.20%E +0.942%K +1.06%G +0.087% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.50%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.16I 12.25%NM 11.50%EV +1.48%E +0.182%K +0.207%G +0.003% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 14:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -0.383%E -0.048%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.43%EV -8.93%E -8.59%K -223.35%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.57%EV -1.13%E -0.142%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.68%EV -2.80%E -2.53%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.32%EV -1.75%E -0.222%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -10.46%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 13:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.94%E -1.85%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 13:47 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 13:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 0.3% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.30% | 9.26I 10.80%NM 10.70% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |