Die Wettquotenschule

Carlos Alcaraz v Alexander Bublik

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-10 14:15 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Heim)

Prognose 87.56%1.14faire Quote
EV -2.80%
Vorteil -2.53%
Kelly -25.50%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.11

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
85.53%87.54%87.57%90.06%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.041.071.071.1196.15%93.07%93.46%90.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alexander Bublik (Auswärts)

Prognose 12.44%8.04faire Quote
EV +19.39%
Vorteil +2.02%
Kelly +2.25%
Wachstum +0.437%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.94%12.46%12.43%14.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
6.507.948.009.6015.38%12.60%12.50%10.42%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +19.39%E +2.02%K +2.25%G +0.437%4.8%2026-04-10 14:04
BetUS1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +18.15%E +1.91%K +2.14%G +0.387%5.8%2026-04-10 14:00
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +11.93%E +1.33%K +1.49%G +0.178%5.5%2026-04-10 14:05
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.87%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.13%EV +8.20%E +0.942%K +1.06%G +0.087%3.2%2026-04-10 14:05
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Casumo1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
betPARX1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%7.0%2026-04-10 14:05
GTbets1.06I 94.34%NM 88.50%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.16I 12.25%NM 11.50%EV +1.48%E +0.182%K +0.207%G +0.003%6.6%2026-04-10 14:03
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001%4.1%2026-04-10 14:00
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001%4.1%2026-04-10 14:00
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -0.383%E -0.048%K -0.055%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 14:04
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Bet Right1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:01
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:05
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:05
ReBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 13:54
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
Fliff1.04I 96.15%NM 88.43%EV -8.93%E -8.59%K -223.35%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.57%EV -1.13%E -0.142%K -0.162%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 14:04
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.68%EV -2.80%E -2.53%K -25.50%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.32%EV -1.75%E -0.222%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-10 14:01
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 14:04
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 14:00
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:04
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 14:00
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 14:05
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:05
TAB1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:05
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:00
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:05
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:04
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 14:04
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 14:04
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -10.46%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 13:54
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.94%E -1.85%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 13:55
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 14:00
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 13:47
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 13:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%0.3%2026-04-10 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-04-10 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-04-10 14:05
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-04-10 14:05
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 89.30%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.70%0.9%2026-04-10 14:05
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.3%2026-04-10 14:05
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89%2.0%2026-04-10 14:05