مدرسة الاحتمالات

Carlos Alcaraz v Alexander Bublik

البداية: 2026-04-10 14:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (المضيف)

التنبؤ 87.56%1.14السعر العادل
EV -2.80%
الأفضلية -2.53%
Kelly -25.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.11

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
85.53%87.54%87.57%90.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.041.071.071.1196.15%93.07%93.46%90.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Bublik (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.44%8.04السعر العادل
EV +19.39%
الأفضلية +2.02%
Kelly +2.25%
النمو +0.437%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.94%12.46%12.43%14.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.507.948.009.6015.38%12.60%12.50%10.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +19.39%E +2.02%K +2.25%G +0.437%4.8%2026-04-10 14:04
BetUS1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +18.15%E +1.91%K +2.14%G +0.387%5.8%2026-04-10 14:00
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +11.93%E +1.33%K +1.49%G +0.178%5.5%2026-04-10 14:05
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.87%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.13%EV +8.20%E +0.942%K +1.06%G +0.087%3.2%2026-04-10 14:05
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Casumo1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
betPARX1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%5.2%2026-04-10 14:00
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043%7.0%2026-04-10 14:05
GTbets1.06I 94.34%NM 88.50%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.16I 12.25%NM 11.50%EV +1.48%E +0.182%K +0.207%G +0.003%6.6%2026-04-10 14:03
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001%4.1%2026-04-10 14:00
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001%4.1%2026-04-10 14:00
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -0.383%E -0.048%K -0.055%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 14:04
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 14:00
Bet Right1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:01
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:05
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:05
ReBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 13:54
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
Fliff1.04I 96.15%NM 88.43%EV -8.93%E -8.59%K -223.35%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.57%EV -1.13%E -0.142%K -0.162%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 14:04
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.68%EV -2.80%E -2.53%K -25.50%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.32%EV -1.75%E -0.222%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-10 14:01
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 14:04
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 14:00
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 14:04
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 14:00
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 14:05
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:05
TAB1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:00
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:05
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:00
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:05
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 14:04
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 14:04
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 14:04
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -10.46%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 13:54
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.94%E -1.85%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 13:55
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 14:00
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 13:47
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 13:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%0.3%2026-04-10 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-04-10 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-04-10 14:05
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-04-10 14:05
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 89.30%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.70%0.9%2026-04-10 14:05
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.3%2026-04-10 14:05
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89%2.0%2026-04-10 14:05