Lingua:Italiano
Carlos Alcaraz v Alexander Bublik
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Carlos Alcaraz (Casa)
Previsione 87.56%1.14quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -2.53%
Kelly -25.50%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.11
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
85.53%87.54%87.57%90.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.041.071.071.1196.15%93.07%93.46%90.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alexander Bublik (Trasferta)
Previsione 12.44%8.04quota equa
EV +19.39%
Vantaggio +2.02%
Kelly +2.25%
Crescita +0.437%
ipotizzando la quota massima 9.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.94%12.46%12.43%14.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.948.009.6015.38%12.60%12.50%10.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Carlos Alcaraz (Casa): 87.56%; Alexander Bublik (Trasferta): 12.44%. Per Alexander Bublik (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.04. 22 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 9.60, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +19.39%.
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +19.39%E +2.02%K +2.25%G +0.437% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +18.15%E +1.91%K +2.14%G +0.387% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +11.93%E +1.33%K +1.49%G +0.178% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.87%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.13%EV +8.20%E +0.942%K +1.06%G +0.087% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.50%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.16I 12.25%NM 11.50%EV +1.48%E +0.182%K +0.207%G +0.003% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 14:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -0.383%E -0.048%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.43%EV -8.93%E -8.59%K -223.35%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.57%EV -1.13%E -0.142%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.68%EV -2.80%E -2.53%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.32%EV -1.75%E -0.222%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -10.46%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 13:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.94%E -1.85%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 13:47 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 13:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 0.3% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.30% | 9.26I 10.80%NM 10.70% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |