La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Carlos Alcaraz v Alexander Bublik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Predicción 87.56%1.14momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -2.53%
Kelly -25.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.53%87.54%87.57%90.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.041.071.071.1196.15%93.07%93.46%90.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Bublik (Visitante)
Predicción 12.44%8.04momio equitativo
EV +19.39%
Ventaja +2.02%
Kelly +2.25%
Crecimiento +0.437%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.94%12.46%12.43%14.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.948.009.6015.38%12.60%12.50%10.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +19.39%E +2.02%K +2.25%G +0.437% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| BetUS | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +18.15%E +1.91%K +2.14%G +0.387% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +11.93%E +1.33%K +1.49%G +0.178% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.87%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.13%EV +8.20%E +0.942%K +1.06%G +0.087% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Casumo | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Unibet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| betPARX | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| GTbets | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.50%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.16I 12.25%NM 11.50%EV +1.48%E +0.182%K +0.207%G +0.003% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 14:03 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -0.383%E -0.048%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Betway | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Coral | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| ReBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 13:54 |
| William Hill | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Fliff | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.43%EV -8.93%E -8.59%K -223.35%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.57%EV -1.13%E -0.142%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.68%EV -2.80%E -2.53%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.32%EV -1.75%E -0.222%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Bovada | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Caesars | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| TAB | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| 888sport | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Neds | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Betsson | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -10.46%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 13:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.94%E -1.85%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 13:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 13:47 |
| Fanatics | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 13:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 0.3% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Novig | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.30% | 9.26I 10.80%NM 10.70% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |