Język:Polski
Carlos Alcaraz v Alexander Bublik
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Carlos Alcaraz (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 87.56%1.14kurs godziwy
EV -2.80%
Przewaga -2.53%
Kelly -25.50%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.11
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
85.53%87.54%87.57%90.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.041.071.071.1196.15%93.07%93.46%90.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Alexander Bublik (Goście)
Prognoza 12.44%8.04kurs godziwy
EV +19.39%
Przewaga +2.02%
Kelly +2.25%
Wzrost +0.437%
przy maksymalnym kursie 9.60
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
9.94%12.46%12.43%14.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.507.948.009.6015.38%12.60%12.50%10.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Carlos Alcaraz (Gospodarze): 87.56%; Alexander Bublik (Goście): 12.44%. Dla wyniku Alexander Bublik (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 8.04. 22 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 9.60, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +19.39%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (59 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +19.39%E +2.02%K +2.25%G +0.437% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +18.15%E +1.91%K +2.14%G +0.387% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +11.93%E +1.33%K +1.49%G +0.178% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.87%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.13%EV +8.20%E +0.942%K +1.06%G +0.087% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.06%E -7.67%K -161.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +5.71%E +0.672%K +0.761%G +0.043% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.50%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.16I 12.25%NM 11.50%EV +1.48%E +0.182%K +0.207%G +0.003% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 14:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.612%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -0.383%E -0.048%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.507%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.43%EV -8.93%E -8.59%K -223.35%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.57%EV -1.13%E -0.142%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.68%EV -2.80%E -2.53%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.32%EV -1.75%E -0.222%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -3.62%E -0.467%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.18%E -6.78%K -119.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.73%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.62%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.31%E -5.89%K -90.10%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -9.83%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -10.46%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 13:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.94%E -1.85%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 13:47 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.16%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 13:59 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 0.3% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.30% | 9.26I 10.80%NM 10.70% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 14:05 |