Language:English
Adam Walton v Jakub Mensik
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Adam Walton (Local)
Prediction 27.40%3.65fair odd
EV +6.88%
Edge +1.76%
Kelly +2.37%
Growth +0.163%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%27.41%27.37%29.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.443.9031.25%29.13%29.07%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jakub Mensik (Visit)
Prediction 72.60%1.38fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -8.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.80%72.59%72.63%75.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.311.3480.00%76.41%76.34%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Adam Walton (Local): 27.40%; Jakub Mensik (Visit): 72.60%. For Adam Walton (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +6.88%E +1.76%K +2.37%G +0.163% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +5.51%E +1.43%K +1.93%G +0.106% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.77%E +0.738%K +1.01%G +0.028% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.40%E +0.378%K +0.518%G +0.007% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.028%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.71%E -0.764%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.53%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.19%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:52 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Novig◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |