StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Adam Walton v Jakub Mensik

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-21 21:20 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Adam Walton (Heim)

Prognose 27.40%3.65faire Quote
EV +6.88%
Vorteil +1.76%
Kelly +2.37%
Wachstum +0.163%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.42%27.41%27.37%29.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.433.443.9031.25%29.13%29.07%25.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Auswärts)

Prognose 72.60%1.38faire Quote
EV -2.72%
Vorteil -2.03%
Kelly -8.01%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.34

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
70.80%72.59%72.63%75.58%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.251.311.311.3480.00%76.41%76.34%74.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Adam Walton (Heim): 27.40%; Jakub Mensik (Auswärts): 72.60%. Für Adam Walton (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.65. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.90 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +6.88%.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +6.88%E +1.76%K +2.37%G +0.163%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 21:15
FanDuel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +5.51%E +1.43%K +1.93%G +0.106%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 21:14
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.77%E +0.738%K +1.01%G +0.028%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 21:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.40%E +0.378%K +0.518%G +0.007%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:54
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.028%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 21:00
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.71%E -0.764%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:58
1xBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.53%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 21:09
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 20:53
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 20:55
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 20:54
ReBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 20:54
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:59
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 21:00
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 20:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 20:55
theScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 20:55
Fliff🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 21:15
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 20:55
DraftKings🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 21:09
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 21:00
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:00
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 21:00
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.19%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 21:00
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Bally Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:52
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:55
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:59
Everygame🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 20:59
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:54
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-03-21 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-03-21 21:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-03-21 21:10
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-03-21 21:09
ProphetX3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-03-21 21:04
Novig3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-03-21 21:09
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-03-21 21:09