La scuola delle quote

Adam Walton v Jakub Mensik

Inizio: 2026-03-21 21:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Adam Walton (Casa)

Previsione 27.40%3.65quota equa
EV +6.88%
Vantaggio +1.76%
Kelly +2.37%
Crescita +0.163%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.42%27.41%27.37%29.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.433.443.9031.25%29.13%29.07%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jakub Mensik (Trasferta)

Previsione 72.60%1.38quota equa
EV -2.72%
Vantaggio -2.03%
Kelly -8.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.80%72.59%72.63%75.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.311.311.3480.00%76.41%76.34%74.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +6.88%E +1.76%K +2.37%G +0.163%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 21:15
FanDuel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +5.51%E +1.43%K +1.93%G +0.106%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 21:14
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.77%E +0.738%K +1.01%G +0.028%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 21:15
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.40%E +0.378%K +0.518%G +0.007%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:54
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.028%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 21:00
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:59
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.71%E -0.764%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:58
1xBet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.53%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 21:09
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 20:53
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 20:55
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 20:54
ReBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 20:54
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:59
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:59
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:55
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 21:00
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 21:00
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:59
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 20:59
Parions Sport (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 20:55
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 20:55
Fliff3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 21:15
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 20:55
DraftKings3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 21:05
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 21:09
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 21:00
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:00
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 21:00
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.19%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 21:00
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Hard Rock Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:52
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:55
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:59
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 20:59
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:00
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:54
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-03-21 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-03-21 21:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-03-21 21:10
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-03-21 21:09
ProphetX3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-03-21 21:04
Novig3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-03-21 21:09
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-03-21 21:09