La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Adam Walton v Jakub Mensik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Adam Walton (Local)
Predicción 27.40%3.65momio equitativo
EV +6.88%
Ventaja +1.76%
Kelly +2.37%
Crecimiento +0.163%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.42%27.41%27.37%29.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.433.443.9031.25%29.13%29.07%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jakub Mensik (Visitante)
Predicción 72.60%1.38momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -2.03%
Kelly -8.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.80%72.59%72.63%75.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.311.3480.00%76.41%76.34%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +6.88%E +1.76%K +2.37%G +0.163% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +5.51%E +1.43%K +1.93%G +0.106% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.77%E +0.738%K +1.01%G +0.028% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.40%E +0.378%K +0.518%G +0.007% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.028%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.71%E -0.764%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:58 |
| 1xBet | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.53%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:53 |
| NordicBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| Betsson | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| ReBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| Fliff | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Caesars | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.19%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Bally Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:52 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| TAB | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:10 |
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| ProphetX | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Novig | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |