Школа коэффициентов

Adam Walton v Jakub Mensik

Начало: 2026-03-21 21:20 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Adam Walton (Хозяева)

Прогноз 27.40%3.65справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.88%
Преимущество +1.76%
Kelly +2.37%
Рост +0.163%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.42%27.41%27.37%29.20%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.433.443.9031.25%29.13%29.07%25.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Jakub Mensik (Гости)

Прогноз 72.60%1.38справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.72%
Преимущество -2.03%
Kelly -8.01%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.34

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
70.80%72.59%72.63%75.58%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.311.311.3480.00%76.41%76.34%74.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +6.88%E +1.76%K +2.37%G +0.163%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 21:15
FanDuel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +5.51%E +1.43%K +1.93%G +0.106%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 21:14
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.77%E +0.738%K +1.01%G +0.028%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 21:15
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.40%E +0.378%K +0.518%G +0.007%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:54
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.028%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 21:00
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:59
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.71%E -0.764%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:58
1xBet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.53%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 21:09
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 20:53
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 20:55
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 20:54
ReBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 20:54
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:59
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:59
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:55
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 21:00
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 21:00
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:59
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 20:59
Parions Sport (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 20:55
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 20:55
Fliff3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 21:15
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 20:55
DraftKings3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 21:05
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 21:09
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 21:00
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:00
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 21:00
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.19%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 21:00
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:54
Hard Rock Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:52
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:55
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:59
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 20:59
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:00
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:54
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:54
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-03-21 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-03-21 21:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-03-21 21:10
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-03-21 21:09
ProphetX3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-03-21 21:04
Novig3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-03-21 21:09
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-03-21 21:09