مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Adam Walton v Jakub Mensik
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Adam Walton (المضيف)
التنبؤ 27.40%3.65السعر العادل
EV +6.88%
الأفضلية +1.76%
Kelly +2.37%
النمو +0.163%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.42%27.41%27.37%29.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.433.443.9031.25%29.13%29.07%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Jakub Mensik (الضيف)
التنبؤ 72.60%1.38السعر العادل
EV -2.72%
الأفضلية -2.03%
Kelly -8.01%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.34
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.80%72.59%72.63%75.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.311.311.3480.00%76.41%76.34%74.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +6.88%E +1.76%K +2.37%G +0.163% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +5.51%E +1.43%K +1.93%G +0.106% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.77%E +0.738%K +1.01%G +0.028% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.40%E +0.378%K +0.518%G +0.007% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.028%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.71%E -0.764%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:58 |
| 1xBet | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.53%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:53 |
| NordicBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| Betsson | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| ReBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| Fliff | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Caesars | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.19%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Bally Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:52 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| TAB | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:10 |
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| ProphetX | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Novig | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |