Langue:Français
Adam Walton v Jakub Mensik
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Adam Walton (Local)
Prévision 27.40%3.65cote équitable
EV +6.88%
Avantage +1.76%
Kelly +2.37%
Croissance +0.163%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.42%27.41%27.37%29.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.433.443.9031.25%29.13%29.07%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jakub Mensik (Visiteur)
Prévision 72.60%1.38cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -2.03%
Kelly -8.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.80%72.59%72.63%75.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.311.311.3480.00%76.41%76.34%74.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Adam Walton (Local) : 27.40% ; Jakub Mensik (Visiteur) : 72.60%. Pour Adam Walton (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.65. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.90, soit une espérance positive de +6.88%.
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +6.88%E +1.76%K +2.37%G +0.163% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +5.51%E +1.43%K +1.93%G +0.106% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.77%E +0.738%K +1.01%G +0.028% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.40%E +0.378%K +0.518%G +0.007% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.028%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.71%E -0.764%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.53%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.19%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:52 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Novig◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |