Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Adam Walton v Jakub Mensik
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Adam Walton (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 27.40%3.65kurs godziwy
EV +6.88%
Przewaga +1.76%
Kelly +2.37%
Wzrost +0.163%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.90
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.42%27.41%27.37%29.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.203.433.443.9031.25%29.13%29.07%25.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Jakub Mensik (Goście)
Prognoza 72.60%1.38kurs godziwy
EV -2.72%
Przewaga -2.03%
Kelly -8.01%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.34
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
70.80%72.59%72.63%75.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.251.311.311.3480.00%76.41%76.34%74.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +6.88%E +1.76%K +2.37%G +0.163% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +5.51%E +1.43%K +1.93%G +0.106% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.77%E +0.738%K +1.01%G +0.028% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.40%E +0.378%K +0.518%G +0.007% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.26%E -7.40%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.028%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.34%E -0.373%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.71%E -0.764%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:58 |
| 1xBet | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.53%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:53 |
| NordicBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| Betsson | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| ReBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| Fliff | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.80%E -6.15%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Caesars | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.19%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Bally Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:52 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 20:55 |
| TAB | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:10 |
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| ProphetX | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Novig | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 21:09 |