赔率学院

Marco Trungelliti v Daniel Merida Aguilar

开赛时间: 2026-04-23 16:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Marco Trungelliti (主队)

预测 42.92%2.33公平赔率
EV +0.859%
优势 +0.365%
Kelly +0.636%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 2.35

博彩公司预测分布
41.18%43.02%43.08%47.40%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.022.222.252.3549.50%45.09%44.44%42.55%MIN均值中位数MAX

Daniel Merida Aguilar (客队)

预测 57.08%1.75公平赔率
EV +3.89%
优势 +2.14%
Kelly +4.74%
增长率 +0.184%

假设最高赔率为 1.82

博彩公司预测分布
52.60%56.98%56.92%58.82%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.581.651.651.8263.29%60.43%60.61%54.95%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -13.30%E -6.59%K -13.04%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +3.89%E +2.14%K +4.74%G +0.184%4.5%2026-04-23 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.25%E -0.722%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:55
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.39%E -1.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.02%E -5.86%K -11.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:28
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.53%E -2.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 15:55
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.53%E -2.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 15:55
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.87%E -3.16%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:53
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:54
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 15:45
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 15:49
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:14
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:34
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:55
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +0.859%E +0.365%K +0.636%G +0.005%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 15:55
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 20:45
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.72%E -2.13%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:39
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:55
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:55
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:54
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.96%E -4.27%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 15:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 10:19
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:55
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:49
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:34
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:49
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:49
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 15:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-04-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-23 15:45
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%3.0%2026-04-23 15:55