L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Marco Trungelliti v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Marco Trungelliti (Local)
Prévision 42.92%2.33cote équitable
EV +0.859%
Avantage +0.365%
Kelly +0.636%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.18%43.02%43.08%47.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.222.252.3549.50%45.09%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.08%1.75cote équitable
EV +3.89%
Avantage +2.14%
Kelly +4.74%
Croissance +0.184%
avec la cote maximale 1.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.60%56.98%56.92%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.651.651.8263.29%60.43%60.61%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -13.30%E -6.59%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +3.89%E +2.14%K +4.74%G +0.184% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.25%E -0.722%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| Betsson | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.39%E -1.40%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.02%E -5.86%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 15:28 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.53%E -2.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.53%E -2.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.87%E -3.16%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:53 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +0.859%E +0.365%K +0.636%G +0.005% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| GTbets | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 20:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.72%E -2.13%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 13:55 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 13:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.96%E -4.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 10:19 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |