Die Wettquotenschule

Marco Trungelliti v Daniel Merida Aguilar

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-23 16:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Marco Trungelliti (Heim)

Prognose 42.92%2.33faire Quote
EV +0.859%
Vorteil +0.365%
Kelly +0.636%
Wachstum +0.005%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.18%43.02%43.08%47.40%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.022.222.252.3549.50%45.09%44.44%42.55%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts)

Prognose 57.08%1.75faire Quote
EV +3.89%
Vorteil +2.14%
Kelly +4.74%
Wachstum +0.184%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.82

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.60%56.98%56.92%58.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.581.651.651.8263.29%60.43%60.61%54.95%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -13.30%E -6.59%K -13.04%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +3.89%E +2.14%K +4.74%G +0.184%4.5%2026-04-23 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.25%E -0.722%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:55
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.39%E -1.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.02%E -5.86%K -11.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:28
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.53%E -2.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 15:55
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.53%E -2.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 15:55
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.87%E -3.16%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:53
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:54
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 15:45
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 15:49
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:14
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:34
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:55
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +0.859%E +0.365%K +0.636%G +0.005%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 15:55
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 20:45
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.72%E -2.13%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:39
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:55
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:55
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:54
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.96%E -4.27%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 15:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 10:19
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:55
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:49
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:34
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:49
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:49
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-04-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-23 15:45
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%3.0%2026-04-23 15:55