Школа коэффициентов

Marco Trungelliti v Daniel Merida Aguilar

Начало: 2026-04-23 16:10 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Marco Trungelliti (Хозяева)

Прогноз 42.92%2.33справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.859%
Преимущество +0.365%
Kelly +0.636%
Рост +0.005%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.18%43.02%43.08%47.40%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.022.222.252.3549.50%45.09%44.44%42.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Гости)

Прогноз 57.08%1.75справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.89%
Преимущество +2.14%
Kelly +4.74%
Рост +0.184%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.82

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.60%56.98%56.92%58.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.581.651.651.8263.29%60.43%60.61%54.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -13.30%E -6.59%K -13.04%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +3.89%E +2.14%K +4.74%G +0.184%4.5%2026-04-23 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.25%E -0.722%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:55
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.39%E -1.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.02%E -5.86%K -11.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:28
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.53%E -2.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 15:55
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.53%E -2.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 15:55
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.87%E -3.16%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:53
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:54
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 15:45
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 15:49
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:14
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:34
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:55
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +0.859%E +0.365%K +0.636%G +0.005%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 15:55
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 20:45
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.72%E -2.13%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:39
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:55
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:55
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:54
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.96%E -4.27%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 15:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 10:19
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:55
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:49
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:34
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:49
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:49
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-04-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-23 15:45
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%3.0%2026-04-23 15:55